Sunday Evening Forecast Discussion – 10 p.m.

An upper level trough along with a surface cold front will begin to approach Central Alabama later tonight. This will bring another re-enforcing shot of cold and dry air into the area. This time around temperatures will not be nearly as cold and will mostly stay above freezing. Never the less, we could still see patchy frost over the next two nights.

Once this trough moves through computer models are hinting at an upper level high pressure establishing over the Gulf of Mexico and remaining in place quite possibly through next weekend. This pattern will favor warmer temperatures over the region along with little rain chances as it tends to keep troughs and waves to our north.

Both the GFS and Euro models continue to bring an upper level system late Thursday night into Friday. The GFS keeps the system a little farther north than the euro as it shows a stronger high pressure over the gulf. Either way, moisture will be lacking and thus rain chances with this system do not look too spectacular.

Looking into next weekend, both GFS and Euro strengthen the ridge aloft across much of the southeastern states. This will basically block any upper level system from moving across the Southeast with the end result being warmer temperatures and continued dry conditions. The pattern could even extend out to the following week and both models suggest it.

Daniel Sparkman
WVUA Weather

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