Friday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 4:15 PM Update

 

A good Friday afternoon to you! Nice weather has now taken over Alabama, as a cold front has pushed into the Gulf of Mexico. A cool north wind will continue through today, tonight and on Saturday. A deep eastern US trough is what’s responsible for bringing the cooler air to the deep south. This front is really strong for this time of the year, in-fact, a mix of rain and snow is expected for parts of the Appalachian Mountains in West Virginia over the weekend. Meanwhile, we’re located on the dry side of the trough, so don’t expect any clouds or rain around here through the weekend and early next week.

Friday night football: If you have plans to the local high school football games, take a coat or long sleeve with you. Temperatures will start off in the upper 60s at the 7pm kickoff and could reach the upper 50s to lower 60s during the final play. A cool north wind will make it feel a little more uncomfortable for the fans, but the players will enjoy this weather.

Temperatures will get downright cold late tonight and each night through Monday night. Look for lower 40s Sunday and Monday morning. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a few spots reaching the upper 30s. This will happen in places like Hamilton and Haleyville, but we will stay just above the light frost criteria.

There is no sign of rain over the next 7 days, as we’ll continue under a dry and comfortable airmass. Highs will gradually warm back into the upper 70s and lower 80s early next week. Temperatures at night will remain fairly cool.

Be sure to scroll down for the latest on Hurricane Ophelia and your football Saturday forecast…

Don’t forget to come out to the West Alabama State Fair this week. The event gets kicked off today and lasts through all of next week. I’ll be there today and on Friday between 6pm and 9pm, and all of next week between 6pm and 9pm. I hope you’ll come out and say hello. The weather is looking great for the event, with lots of sun. Cooler temperatures arrive this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 70s and lows in the upper 40s. So far, there is no sign of rain through much of next week.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV news at 4, 5, 6 and 10pm weekdays for the latest on your forecast. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com. You can like us on facebook by searching our new page WVUA-TV Weather. Also, send us your weather pictures by e-mail to weather@wvuatv.com. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Football Saturday Forecast… Friday Update 3:50 PM

Alabama takes on Florida in Gainesville this weekend. Kickoff is at 8pm eastern time, or 7pm central time. Look for a kickoff in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Temperatures will fall quickly during the game, to a temperature near 62 by the final play. The cold front that has brought the change locally is pushing much cooler and drier air well down into Florida. Alabama fans will catch a nice break at this game. Take a long sleeve with you because once the sun sets, conditions will get cool pretty fast.

Don’t forget to come out to the West Alabama State Fair this week. The event gets kicked off today and lasts through all of next week. I’ll be there today and on Friday between 6pm and 9pm, and all of next week between 6pm and 9pm. I hope you’ll come out and say hello. The weather is looking great for the event, with lots of sun. Cooler temperatures arrive this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 70s and lows in the upper 40s. So far, there is no sign of rain through much of next week.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV news at 4, 5, 6 and 10pm weekdays for the latest on your forecast. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com. You can like us on facebook by searching our new page WVUA-TV Weather. Also, send us your weather pictures by e-mail to weather@wvuatv.com. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Major Hurricane Ophelia! Tropical Update Friday 3:30 PM

OPHELIA HAS DEVELOPED A DISTINCT EYE SURROUNDED BY A CIRCULAR CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. THE EYE WAS ALREADY CLEARLY OBSERVED ON EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGES. T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE 5.0 ON
THE DVORAK SCALE THIS MORNING. SINCE THEN…THE EYE HAS BECOME EVEN MORE DISTINCT…AND THE ADT OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS HAVE BEEN AVERAGING NEAR 5.5 WITH RAW NUMBERS RECENTLY REACHING 6.0.  ON THIS BASIS…THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 100 KNOTS…MAKING OPHELIA A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON A SAFFIR SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE…THE THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE SEASON.

THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD THAT OPHELIA HAS ALREADY REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY…AND ONLY SMALL INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER…THE HURRICANE SHOULD BE MOVING INTO INCREASING SHEAR AND ENCOUNTER COLD WATERS RESULTING IN WEAKENING. OPHELIA SHOULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW BETWEEN THE ATLANTIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND A LARGE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS PATTERN SHOULD FORCE OPHELIA TO MOVE ON A NORTHWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THEN RECURVE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED…AS THE CORE OF THE CYCLONE PASSES EAST OF BERMUDA. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE NHC FORECAST SINCE IT IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED GUIDANCE ENVELOPE THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE ENVELOPE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA.

Don’t forget to come out to the West Alabama State Fair this week. The event started yesterday and lasts through all of next week. I’ll be there today between 6pm and 9pm, and all of next week between 6pm and 9pm. I hope you’ll come out and say hello. The weather is looking great for the event, with lots of sun. Cooler temperatures arrive this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 70s and lows in the upper 40s. So far, there is no sign of rain through much of next week.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV news at 4, 5, 6 and 10pm weekdays for the latest on your forecast. Also, look us up on facebook and twitter by searching weather@wvuatv.com. You can like us on facebook by searching our new page WVUA-TV Weather. Also, send us your weather pictures by e-mail to weather@wvuatv.com. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com