Special Update from Hurricane Center – Sunday 4 p.m.


SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
455 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE ELONGATED AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES. 

1. UPDATED...COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS HAVE LIMITED THE AMOUNT OF DATA
RECEIVED FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.  HOWEVER...REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT
...ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE
THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE
CIRCULATION.  A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED
TO THE WEST OF THE MAIN DISTURBANCE...AND WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
TONIGHT.  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM TO FORM...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15
MPH.  IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR MONDAY
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS WOULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON VERY
SHORT NOTICE...AND INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  ANOTHER HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM MONDAY MORNING.

Daniel Sparkman
dsparkman@wvuatv.com
WVUA Weather

 

 

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5 Responses to Special Update from Hurricane Center – Sunday 4 p.m.

  1. Regina Cunningham says:

    Thank you for that update. I have a daughter in St. Martin’s and I am worried that this Tropical Storm will interfere with her departure on Mon. 8/1/11 at 2:30pm. Very concerned about her safety. Do you think she should move from her present location at Grand Case Beach Club, Grand Case, to somewhere else on the island?
    Or should she go to the airport tonight-is it safer there?

    Thank you.

  2. WVUA Weather says:

    As a rule we cannot advise you on whether your daughter should move to new location or stay, but I can tell you that it is likely there will be a lot of rain and winds at the time she is supposed to leave tomorrow and I would guess that her flight may be delayed. By that time the system will be passing over the islands. Winds are currently around 30-40 mph. The worst of it, at this point, will be the large amounts of rain fall. I hope this helps. We will be glad to answer any other questions you may have. We’ll have another update tonight on WVUA News at 10. Thanks for watching!

  3. Anonymous says:

    update on above post. The weather in St. Martin’s has been beautiful, no rain yet. People down there had been saying all along that Emily would not hit there till Tues/Tues night.
    So, as of this time, St Martin’s has no effects yet and no rain.

    Yet the US Weather Channel has been saying the rains have been falling and that the vacationers were not happy. Not so, at least in St. Martin’s/Maarten. Intense tropical storms warnings coming from t.v. all day yesterday.

    One worried mother here relieved. Don’t understand why there is no direct communication with Weather Ch and people on the ground to say what’s really going on. Is there too much relying on computer analysis, I wonder. And also wonder what system the islands actually use that they always said storm on Tues.?

    But I realize this is not an exact science and conditions change rapidly.

    Thank you.

  4. Anonymous says:

    con’t…..that being said, I realize how dangerous and costly it is to you and all those who fly into these storms, risking your life, to get the information that will help thousands( or millions) of people, to deal with the effects of any major storm.

    So, I thank you for your dedication and I commend the program that allows this.

  5. Anonymous says:

    I must commend your actions of flying into storms to see how they are forming and thus warning thousands, if not millions of people, how severe the storms will be. Saving many lives, at the risk of your own. Thank you for this service.

    God Bless you and all those who help people.

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