Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Dicussion… Updated at 4:50 PM

A good Tuesday afternoon to you! It’s been another hot day across our state, as we’re positioned on the edge of a very strong ridge of high pressure. This is accompanied with sinking air, so the chance of rain is small through this afternoon. The rain chance will increase some on Wednesday and Thursday, but not very much. Expect scattered, mainly afternoon thunderstorms to develop on Wednesday and Thursday. Predicting who will see rain and how much is impossible to know at this point, but keep in mind that storms will pop up in random spots across central Alabama. The chance of rain tomorrow at Thursday is at 30%. Meanwhile, temperatures will continue to climb into the middle and upper 90s.

The ridge will back down just a bit over the weekend, so rain chances may have to be bumped up. Right now, I have a 30 to 40% percent chance of scattered storms in the forecast, but if data keeps coming in wetter, I will have to bring the chance of rain up a bit. With deep tropical moisture and cooler temperatures aloft, look for thunderstorms to become a decent bet. This includes Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Don’t cancel your weekend plans yet, but keep in mind there is a chance of scattered, mainly afternoon storms. Much like last week, storms are possible at just about any time. I think the best bet for storms over the weekend will happen between noon and 10pm. Storms will produce lots of cloud to ground lightning, so go indoors if a storm passes by your area.

Be sure to scroll down for the latest on Tropical Storm Bret.

Richard Scott
rscott@wvuatv.com
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

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Taste of Summer Featured Pic of the Day… Tuesday 4:34 PM

“This is a dessert called Peach Delight. It is very light for a hot summer day and absolutely delicious. Strawberries can be substituted if you don’t like peaches. My family and friends absolutely love it!

Thanks for your consideration to show this on the weather segment of WVUA.

-Sara Taylor of Tuscaloosa”

Peach Delight Recipe: 1.5 cups Self-rising flour 1.5 sticks Butter (softened) 1 cup Chopped nuts 8 oz. Cream cheese 2-1/2 cups Confectioners sugar 8 oz. Cool Whip 4-5 cups Sliced fresh peaches 1 cup Sugar (I usually use a little less than 1 cup) 4 T. Flour 4 T. Peach Jell-O 1 cup Water Extra Cool Whip to place on top Mix 1.5 cups of flour, 1.5 sticks of butter (softened) and 1 cup of nuts together ; press into 9 x 13 dish. Bake at 375ºfor 15 minutes. Cool. Mix 8 oz. of cream cheese, 2.5 cups of confectioner

s sugar, and 8 oz. of Cool Whip together; spread over crust.  Place 4 5 cups of sliced fresh peaches over cream cheese mixture. In a sauce pan, mix 1 cup sugar (I use a little less than a cup), 4 T. of flour, 4 T. of Jell-O and 1 cup of water; cook until thick and clear (about 5 minutes boiling, stirring constantly). Cool and pour over peaches; refrigerate.

Top with extra Cool Whip, if desired (1012 oz.) Serves 8-10.

Option: Can use fresh strawberries and strawberry Jello instead and make Strawberry Delight!

We’re looking for your pictures of a cool summer dish. The theme this season is Taste of Summer. We want to know how you stay cool in the summer heat. If you have a treat you make during the hot summer days to stay cool, we would love to know about it. Send us a picture of your home-made dish, along with your name, town name, and recipe. You may be featured on WVUA-TV during our 5, 6 and 10 O’clock broadcast. Be sure to send your pictures to weather@wvuatv.com. We look forward to seeing your pictures, but be sure to hurry so you have a better chance of being featured on WVUA-TV. We’ll continue to show these pictures through the end of July.

Richard Scott
rscott@wvuatv.com
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Latest on Bret… Tuesday Update at 3:57 PM

Tropical Storm Bret is weakening this afternoon, as it moves into an environment of higher shear. This is blowing most of the convection to the southwest. Plus, dry air is getting wrapped into the center of the storm. Dry air and wind shear is a tropical storm’s worst nightmare. Here’s the latest discussion from the National Hurricane Center:

BRET HAS A DISHEVELED APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE PICTURES…WITH AN EXPOSED LOW-CLOUD CENTER TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF A SMALL PATCH OF THUNDERSTORMS.  IN SPITE OF THIS…DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE EARLIER ESTIMATE OF INTENSITY WAS NOT A GENEROUS ONE AND THE STORM IS MAINTAINING STRENGTH…FOR NOW.  PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 52 KT AND EVEN HIGHER SURFACE WINDS WERE SHOWN BY THE SFMR INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE AIRCRAFT.
HOWEVER THE SFMR WINDS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT INFLATED BY AN ACCOMPANYING SPIKE OF HEAVY RAIN.  THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS MAINTAINED AT 45 KT.  STRONG NORTHERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR ALONG WITH DRY MID-TROPOSPHERIC AIR ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE A TOLL ON BRET AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO DISSIPATION AFTER 3 DAYS.  THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL INTENSITY GUIDANCE.

INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 035/7.  BRET IS MOVING AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE AND SHOULD BE APPROACHING THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.  DYNAMICAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON A CONTINUED GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME ACCELERATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE.

WVUA Chief Meteorogist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Hot and Humid… Tuesday Morning Update 8:55am

The heat will bake many of us over the next couple of days, but it’s not the extreme heat the midwest is dealing with now. The core of the upper air ridge will stay northwest of our state. We’ll catch the edge of the ridge, so expect upper 90s, with heat index values topping 100 to 105.

The good news is that the ridge will start to break down a bit over the coming days, so instead of heating things up more and drying the ground out, we’ll bring back a chance of scattered afternoon storms each day through the weekend and early next week.

Rain chances will be low today, but I can’t rule out a stray storm. The chance of rain today is about 10%. The rain chance will increase to 30 or 40% on Wednesday through next Tuesday, but don’t expect an all day rain out of that. If anything, you may see rain at your house for 30 minutes and that’s it. Others will not see rain at all. This will not be a setup like last week, where many of us got a soaking rain every day. This will be the scattered storms that pop up in spots. You may get an inch of rain, while a mile down the road doesn’t get a drop.

Tropical Storm Bret is moving northeast, into the open waters of the Atlantic this morning. Bret is a little less organized this morning, as it’s battleing some dry air. This system will continue to weaken over the next few days and won’t be a bother to any landmass.

I’ll post another discussion on here a little later this afternoon. Have a great day!

WVUA Cheif Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com