Saturday Evening Forecast Discussion – 7:52 p.m.

 

The remainder of the weekend and even into Monday should remain high and dry with just some outside shots of seeing some possible afternoon showers, in the typical summer pattern.

Tuesday into Wednesday is where the real focus of the forecasst will begind. We have several factors to continue watching especially this far in advance. One will be the upper level divergence that sets up across the mid south by late Tuesday into Wednesday afternoon. This will cause rapid pressure falls and a deepening surface low to form, basically from Little Rock to Detroit. Just like April 15 the track of the surface low will be nearly south to north, which should stretch and extend the southeastern warm sector from the Mississippi River east to the Atlantic coast by Wednesday afternoon. It is noted that the surface low and upper level dynamics are not quite as strong at this juncture, however as the deep layer jet fields round the base of the upper trough and enter the warm sector. It’s looking better for supercells followed by a decent broken squall line. There are still several other factors that have to be considered before a good timing and storm type can be forecast.

The key thing to know is that strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday mainly across the northwestern counties and then again on Wednesday for the entire area as the next storm system moves through. Confidence is slowly increasing for this event with damagin winds the main threat on Tuesday and tornadoes are possible on Wednesday.

Daniel Sparkman
WVUA Weather

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Weather Team Visit to Linden

Richard and I had a great visit to Linden today. We helped celebrate Easter at the Farmer’s Market in downtown. I met a lot of great people, most of which Richard already knew since that’s his hometown. It really was a lot of fun and we really enjoyed it. We want to thank Bruce Ward for inviting us down and Mayor Mitzy Gates (seen above) for being such a wonderful hostess. I can’t wait to get down to Marengo County for another visit.

Daniel Sparkman
WVUA Weather