Thursday Afternoon Forecast Discussion – 4:30 PM

A good Thursday to you! It has felt very muggy today, due to the high dewpoints and mild temperatures. A south wind is bringing in plenty of tropical moisture. With a stationary front still nearby, that is serving as a focal mechanism for more showers and storms. Rain is moving into theTuscaloosaarea night now, and some gusty winds are also possible. Expect lots of lightning with these storms as they move eastward at 40MPH. The good news is that we’ll catch a break in the rain later this evening.

The stationary front will buckle north as a warm front on Friday and Saturday as a strong south flow takes over and a storm system gets organized to the west. This will take the best chance of rain out of here as the lifting mechanism moves out. Temperatures will really begin a warming trend over the next few days, with highs in the middle to upper 80s.

Easter weekend is looking hot, muggy and settled. Highs will top out between 85 and 87 degrees through Sunday and Monday. A stray shower or two is possible during the afternoon hours, but the rain chance is less than 30%, so many of us will miss out on the rain. A ridge will build into the southeastern US, and will force the active storm track well north ofAlabamafor a few days. The ridge will only stick around until early next week. A vigorous trough gets organized out west, and moves in on Wednesday.

Severe weather on Wednesday? After looking through data, it looks like there will be a chance of severe storms on Wednesday. It’s too early to know what type of severe weather we’ll have or how significant the event will be. We will continue to fine-tune the forecast as we get a bit closer. Some slightly cooler weather looks to arrive on Thursday.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV today at 5, 6 and 10 for the very latest. Also, if you have any weather picture, send them to weather@wvuatv.com

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

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Storms Moving In – Non Severe… Thursday Update at 3:40 PM

Strong storms are moving into the Tuscloosa area now. There will be lots of lightning with these storms, but they are not severe. They’re moving east at 30 to 40 MPH. Expect some heavy rain for Tuscaloosa and points south, towards Greensboro, Centreville and Marion. A severe storm is moving into Marengo County, with small hail and strong winds possible for parts of central Marengo County within the next hour or two. The rain will be moving out pretty fast, with the back edge working through Tuscaloosa by 5:30 PM. Some moderate rain and lightning will affect areas to the north of Tuscaloosa as well, but the heaviest stuff will pass just to the south.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com

Severe T-storm Warning for Sumter Co Until 2:45 PM Thursday

BULLETIN – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
209 PM CDT THU APR 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR… CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 207 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF  CUBA…AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN     HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM IN MISSISSIPPI.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…  CUBA…YORK…LIVINGSTON…THE UNIVERSITY OF WEST ALABAMA…
  BLUFFPORT…I 20 WELCOME CENTER AT CUBA…BELLAMY AND LILITA.

THIS INCLUDES…INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 1 THROUGH 17…

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

rscott@wvuatv.com