New Winter Storm Watch for central Alabama – 11:30pm Tuesday Night Update

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1108 PM CST TUE FEB 8 2011

…ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…

.A STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF SNOW TO MUCH OF CENTRAL LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH REGARDS TO SPECIFIC SNOWFALL TOTALS…ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE.

ALZ022-023-030>035-039-091300-
/O.CON.KBMX.WS.A.0003.110209T2100Z-110210T1200Z/
PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-MARENGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…CARROLLTON…TUSCALOOSA…LIVINGSTON…
EUTAW…GREENSBORO…MOUNDVILLE…MARION…CENTREVILLE…
CLANTON…DEMOPOLIS…LINDEN
1108 PM CST TUE FEB 8 2011

…WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL LIKELY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF AROUND MIDNIGHT. AVERAGE ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED…ALTHOUGH THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS IF THE WEATHER SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE ENDS UP BEING STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. AS SNOW INCREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY…AND TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING…TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

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Snow Wednesday Night – Update at 10 PM Tuesday

I’ve tweaked the snow forecast just a little over parts of our area, but most of the snow forecast is still on track…

There’s no doubt that snow is a good bet across central Alabama, with accumulations likely for a large portion of our viewing area. I’ve brought down the snow totals over Mississippi, as moisture across extreme north MS and north Alabama will be a little more limited. Also, as thermal profiles are looking colder, I’ve added a dusting for our southern counties. The dusting to 1 inch includes Linden, Demopolis and Clanton. The dusting to 1 inch over our southern counties is a stretch for now, as the ground temperature is a bit warmer there, and most of what falls will be rain. This will soak the ground, making it harder for anything to stick south of Greensboro.

Along the I-20/59 area, we’re still in check for a 1 to 3 inch snow. Someone in the Tuscaloosa or Birmingham area will get a little more, but it’s hard to tell where that will happen. It could be 30 miles north of the interstate or 30 miles south. We’ll continue to tweak the forecast as everything becomes a little less muddy.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Tuesday Evening Weather Update – 9 PM

A good Tuesday evening to you! Everything is on track for a winter storm across central Alabama, with a good chance of accumulating snows along I-20/59. A line from Emelle to Moundville and points north will have a chance to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, with a dusting to the south of that line. Rain and sleet will begin in Tuscaloosa around 5pm and change to snow sometime between 6 and 8pm. Moderate snow is possible for Tuscaloosa and Birmingham between 7pm and 3am, with lighter amounts after that. There’s a chance that some flurries could still be around during the sunrise hour, but clouds and flurries will depart our area quickly after. Roads will be icy in spots early Thursday morning, but the temperature will rise above freezing by 10am. I think all road icing issues will be well gone by 10am. If we get the snow as forecasted, you better get out early in the day to enjoy it because the sun will quickly melt the snow. I think the morning hours will still be mostly cloudy until 11am or so.

The forecast goes very quiet for a while as ridging takes over the central and southern half of the nation. In-fact, temperatures begin a warming trend by Saturday. Temperatures at night will remain cold through the weekend and into early next week, but even lows will gradually warm up. Highs on Thursday will top out in the upper 30s, with sunshine returning. Mid 40s are likely for highs on Friday. The rest of the weekend will continue to moderate. Highs on Saturday will recover into the lower 50s, but lower 60s are likely for Sunday. We’ll have bright sunshine each day, which will make it feel even warmer.

After Thursday’s cold air, there is no sign of cold weather over the next 16 days. This could all change, but it appears that a warming spell will continue. I wouldn’t be surprised if we reach 70 degrees multiple days for the second half of the month.

Be sure to join me on WVUA-TV tonight at 10. As more data comes in, we may have to fine-tune the forecast just a bit on the snow accumulations. Take care and have a great evening!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Winter Weather Update – 5:18 PM Tuesday

I just wanted to expand this snowfall map out a bit, so you can see how close we are to a major snow. More than 5 inches is likely for areas across north Mississippi. The reason we don’t think that will make it here is because the system bringing the wintry weather will be weakening. It’s a close call though, and this map could change a bit. We will continue to fine-tune this map as we get closer. Looking at the latest models, Tuscaloosa seems to be well within the 1 to 3 inch snow total range.

More to come!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Winter Storm Watch Until 6am Thursday

We are all under a winter storm watch until 6am Thursday morning, with the counties in blue. We are dry right now, with lots of sunshine, but the next 24 hours will hold for big changes. The best chance of snow for west Alabama will begin at 6pm Thursday and last through 5am Thursday.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Snow Chances Wednesday Night – Updated at 3pm Tuesday

Here’s the latest look at what we’re thinking here at WVUA-TV in terms of a snowfall map. It looks like the precipitation will start as a rain/snow mix in the Tuscaloosa area late tomorrow afternoon, with a quick change to all snow just after sunset. Snow totals will range from 1 to 3 inches from a line north of Emelle and Moundville. This is all in response to an upper air trough and gulf low. Moisture will increase and temperatures will cool. Rain will change to snow for areas south of Greensboro, but minor accumulations are expected. Maybe a dusting for grassy areas. This will quickly move out by daybreak Thursday morning. Roads will get a little slick early Thursday morning, as temperatures drop into the 20s. Sun will return by mid-morning on Thursday, which will allow for snow to melt off quickly. Also, temperatures will rise above freezing by 10am, so icy roads will thaw out quickly as well. For areas north of Fayette, it may take a little longer to thaw out.

I’ll have much more on here later this afternoon. Also, you can join me on WVUA-TV this evening at 4, 5, 6 and 10 for the latest. Have a great day!

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott

Winter Storm Watch for Wednesday Night

…ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…

.A STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL
BRING THE CHANCE OF SNOW TO MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
WITH REGARDS TO SPECIFIC SNOWFALL TOTALS…ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ALZ011>015-017>032-034-082200-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WS.A.0003.110209T2100Z-110210T1200Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-
TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-BIBB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…HAMILTON…SULLIGENT…VERNON…
FAYETTE…DOUBLE SPRINGS…JASPER…ONEONTA…GADSDEN…
ANNISTON…CENTRE…HEFLIN…CARROLLTON…TUSCALOOSA…
BIRMINGHAM…HOOVER…COLUMBIANA…PELHAM…ALABASTER…
PELL CITY…MOODY…TALLADEGA…SYLACAUGA…ASHLAND…ROANOKE…
LIVINGSTON…EUTAW…GREENSBORO…MOUNDVILLE…CENTREVILLE
512 AM CST TUE FEB 8 2011

…WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…AND BEGIN ACCUMULATING BY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY. TOTAL ACCUMULATION AROUND TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED…WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. AS SNOW INCREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY…AND TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING…TRAVEL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW…SLEET…OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott