Friday Afternoon Weather Update – 3:52 PM

A good Friday to you! Storms are having a hard time developing this afternoon across west and central Alabama, but as a stationary front drifts in from the north, rain chances will increase this evening. The best coverage or rain and storms will continue east of I-65, but storms will fire up around the Tuscaloosa area as well. A few storms will continue into the overnight hours as well. Storm chances increase again tomorrow afternoon for areas south of Tuscaloosa. We’re forecasting a 50% chance of storms, as the stationary front drifts in from the north. The front looks to stall out between Tuscaloosa and Demopolis, which will drive drier air into the northern half of the state. This will shut off rain chances for areas north of Fayette over the weekend. Rain chances will continue during the afternoon hours on Saturday and Sunday south of Tuscaloosa.

The front washes out on Monday and the upper-level ridge builds back in. This will dry us out and warm temperatures into the 98 to 100 degree range. Heat index values will exceed 105. This will give us another round of hot weather through the end of next week. Lows at night will continue in the middle to upper 70s. This will likely include heat advisory criteria on Tuesday and Wednesday. Questions come into the forecast period on Thursday and Friday, as another trough moves into the east. This could be enough to allow for a surface front to make it into central Alabama, which would increase our rain chances. As of now, I’m sticking with a low rain chance until more data comes in.

The tropics have come to life today. Tropical Storm Colin re-developed yesterday afternoon and has moved into the open Atlantic. Colin will gradually weaken over time as it moves northward. Another area of low pressure in the Caribbean could develop into a tropical storm before moving into Central America. This feature is no threat to our weather. One more area of low pressure in the central Atlantic could become a tropical storm as well. We have plenty of time to watch this feature as it tracks westward. Out of all features, it has the highest threat to impact the US coastline. Since it’s still well out in the central Atlantic, we have plenty of time to watch it. Keep it right here to for more. Also, join us on television on WVUA-TV for more. Have a great day!

Richard Scott
WVUA Meteorologist