Flash Flood Warning

A Flash Flood Warning is in place for Tuscaloosa County until 10:00. I just finished doing a LIVE Cut-in on WVUA and we will be here monitoring things throughout the evening. I know for sure one High School Game Hillcrest/County High has been postponed until 8:00 p.m. or until the lightning departs.  The ACA Game has been cancelled and will be played tomorrow at 5:30 PM.

Wes

Advertisements

A Soggy Week and Weekend..

Our weather pattern over the past week or so has resulted in above-average precipitation totals for the region this time of year.  An upper-level low developed to our west and slowly drifted eastward over parts of Arkansas and Louisiana, allowing rich gulf moisture to stream northward into the area. This has allowed for several days and nights of numerous showers and thunderstorms to plague our area. These repetitive showers have begun to accumulate; 5.62 inches of rain has been officially observed at the Birmingham airport, 2.19 inches in Tuscaloosa, and 4.85 inches in Montgomery since the beginning of September.

Additionally, these heavy rain showers and thunderstorms have caused many area rivers and streams to rise to or exceed flood stage; as a result, many river flood warnings have been required. On September 17th, Doppler radar estimated three to seven inches of rain has fallen over parts of eastern Jefferson County as a result of persistent shower and thunderstorm activity yesterday afternoon and evening. Moreover, these tropical downpours have saturated the soils across central Alabama, and any excess rainfall may cause additional flash flooding over the next few days. The National Weather Service has posted a Flash Flood Watch for central Alabama until Midnight tonight.

For the weekend and start of the new work-week, there will likely be little change in our weather pattern. While the aforementioned upper-level system is beginning to weaken and “open up”, maritime tropical air remains over the area and with a general weakness in the upper heights still over the area, expect periodic showers and thunderstorms to continue throughout the weekend. However, model guidance continues to suggest another upper-level system will close off over the southern plains early next week. Should this scenario pan out, a southwesterly flow aloft will prevail and this coupled with continued moisture advection from the Gulf will promote scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for at least the first half of next week.

Isaac Williams
WVUA-Weather

Forecast Discussion Update 4:20 PM

When it comes to this week’s weather in West and Central Alabama it has been like clock work. Each day we’ve started off rather cloudy and muggy. Even though spotty tropical downpours and thunderstorms have been around during the morning hours, the rain has been a guarantee during the afternoons. Yesterday afternoon Leeds reported a whopping 5.10” of rain! This is just a symbol of how heavy some of the tropical downpours have been. Because of the saturated soils, The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch through Midnight. Additional heavy rains will be possible over scattered locations tonight so plan on carrying the rain gear for those high school football games. Lows tonight will be in the 70s and it is going to feel very muggy.

The storm system to our west, the one that has plagued our area all week, will keep the moist-southerly flow in place over Alabama through the weekend. For tomorrow and Sunday, look for a mostly cloudy sky. There will be some peaks of sunshine during the afternoon hours and we will have a good chance for rain and thunderstorms. I would plan on carrying the rain gear for Alabama’s game. Even though temperatures will rise into the low 80s tomorrow, it is going to feel more like 86 in Bryant Denny Stadium by the fourth quarter.

As the storm system to our west weakens, more upper air energy will dive down the lee side of the Rockies. This will enhance the development of another upper air storm system by next Wednesday. Expect rain and thunderstorms to linger in our forecast through the middle of next week. Each day we will have a mostly cloudy sky along with warm and humid conditions. As for tropical activity, there are two areas of interest for possible organization in the Atlantic Basin. The most favorable area appears to be in the Central Atlantic. The next name of the season will be Grace. We will keep you posted on the heavy rain potential over Alabama. Have a great weekend!

Follow Me on TWITTER!

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist