Sunday Afternoon Weather Update; Posted at 2:45 p.m.

After a cool day, with temperatures reaching the lower 50s in many locations, we are about get into a complicated setup. First, the remainder of the day will be cool, with mostly cloudy skies around; that will last through the overnight and lows will approach 36 degrees. A warm front will get set to lift though the area on Monday, which will include a south flow and a warm-up. Highs will make it into the lower 60s in Tuscaloosa, but upper 60s are expected for locations south of HWY 80. I can’t rule out a stray shower on Tuesday, but the chance of rain is very small and will mainly be north of Tuscaloosa. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue to exist across much of Alabama.

A cold front will reach central Alabama during the morning hours on Wednesday, which will cool us down into the lower and middle 50s. The front will become parallel to the upper-air flow, which will stall it out along I-20/59. This will be a day where cold temperatures north of Tuscaloosa and warm 60s in south Alabama. A deep trough will dig down into the heartland of the nation, which will move the front slowly to the south. There will be a state-wide coverage of showers and a few thunderstorms during this process on Wednesday and Thursday. Expect highs in the middle 50s on Thursday.

Here’s where the forecast gets very complicated. A wave of low pressure will develop along the front, which will bring a large batch of rain to portions of the state on Thursday; it will be a cool rain, with many locations in the 50s for highs. Depending on where the front stalls out, will determine what track the low will take. If the low tracks too far south, most of us will be dry and cold, but if the low tracks over central Alabama, we will be in the set-up for some heavy rain. I haven’t latched onto a solution just yet, as there are a lot of conflictions in the models. We’ve seen this setup many times before, where a costal low forms and spreads a chilly rain across the state, but the big questions is how much cold air will be available. One of our reliable computer models show rain changing to snow late Thursday night, with accumulations north of Tuscaloosa. We’ll have to wait a few more model runs before I forecast that type of snow, so for now, we will mention the chance for rain changing to a little snow late Thursday night and Friday morning. This is a developing situation that needs to be watched closely. Be sure to watch tonight at 10 p.m. for the latest on your forecast. Also, tomorrow night, Wes Wyatt will have a more answers to any wintry weather in the forecast.

As for the rest of the weekend, we’ll dry out and stay chilly on Friday; highs will be in the 40s on Friday, and a slow warm-up into the 50s can be expected on Saturday. Have a great day!

Richard Scott
WVUA-TV’s Weekend Weather Anchor

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Saturday Evening Weather Update; Posted at 8:20 p.m.

I hope your Saturday has been nice. If you were outside today, you’ve noticed a big difference between the warm 70s yesterday and the chilly 50s today. A cold front moved through the area before daylight, which sent temperatures in a downhill direction. Temperatures stayed in the 50s for much of the day. Now that the sun has set, temperatures are beginning to get colder. Many locations are in the 40s, but with clouds hanging around, we won’t get cold in a hurry. Low level clouds act as a blanket and keep the temperatures from quickly dropping off. We’ll see some showers south of Tuscaloosa tonight, but rainfall will be light. Also, as clouds break apart after midnight, temperatures will be allowed to reach the upper 30s. With some low level moisture present, we will also see some fog developing after midnight.

Tomorrow, we’ll have some clearing, with a mix of sun and clouds. Expect more chilly weather to be here, as highs approach the lower 50s. There is still a chance for a shower or two south of town; this will mainly be in the morning hours. Sunday night, temperatures will drop into the upper 30s. A big warm-up is in the forecast for Monday, as highs top out in the lower 60s. As a warm front lifts northward across the state, we’ll get a south flow on Monday and Tuesday. We will continue to see partly cloudy skies for Monday and Tuesday, with a few showers developing on Tuesday. I have a 30% chance for rain in the forecast for areas north of Tuscaloosa. I think everyone south of I–20/59 will remain dry. On Tuesday, highs will make the middle 60s, and upper 60s can be expected on Wednesday.

A strong cold front is expected to sweep through the state on Thursday, which will bring a state-wide coverage of showers and thunderstorms. Instability values don’t look impressive, so don’t expect severe weather. It will be a tricky forecast on Thursday, with a huge contrast in temperatures. Hamilton may stay in the 40s all day, Tuscaloosa will reach 60 degrees around midnight, and Demopolis will experience middle to upper 60s. A slow moving front will move from northwest to southeast across our viewing area. Skies will remain mostly cloudy through much of Thursday. On Friday, temperatures will be in the 40s, with a brisk north wind. Skies will clear out during the day, and a warm up will begin on Saturday, with highs in the upper 50s. Be sure to join us tonight at 10 pm for the latest on your forecast on WVUA-TV. Have a great day!

Richard Scott
WVUA-TV’s Weekend Weather Anchor

2 Day QPF Image

This image displays the 2 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast from HPC (The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center).

Friday Afternoon Local Forecast Discussion 4:17 PM

Wow! Today sure was a beautiful day, especially compared to recent weather conditions. We reached highs in the 70s, with a good dose of sunshine. It was quite windy at times today and a gusty south breeze will continue tonight. A cold front will close in on West Alabama overnight. At this time clouds are increasing and showers are shifting into Mississippi. We will have a good chance for showers late tonight and into the first half of the day tomorrow.

The temperature forecast is going to be rather tricky overnight. The coldest readings tonight will be upper 40s by early tomorrow morning; however, the coldest temperature for tomorrow will actually occur tomorrow night. I’m expecting milder conditions ahead of the front, with colder air settling in behind the front tomorrow night. We will have a chilly north wind tomorrow afternoon with rain shifting south of the area. There could be a lingering shower along the highway-80 corridor late tomorrow. Clouds will linger over most of the area tomorrow night and lows will be in the middle to upper 30s. On Sunday there will be some breaks in the clouds and it’s going to remain cooler, with highs in the 50s. A stray shower can’t be ruled out to the south for places like Selma and Linden.

Monday will be a dry day, with a milder south flow returning. A warm front will setup to our north by Tuesday and Wednesday. This will be the focus zone for heavy precipitation and we will have a chance of showers, especially over the northern half of the area. If the front sets up closer to home, we will have a much better chance of rain. Eventually the system will get a push southward by Thursday and rain chances will increase. I’m expecting a good chance for showers and thunderstorms on Thursday. This will be followed by some lingering rain and falling temperatures on Friday. Have a great weekend!

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Thursday Afternoon Discussion Update 4:15 PM

Friday is almost here and we’re getting a welcomed treat with warmer than average temperatures. Today the high reached the lower 60s and tomorrow we will be nearing the 70 degree mark. You will still need the jacket tonight, with lows near 40 degrees. In some areas outside of the city there may be upper 30s across West Alabama.

It looks like we will squeeze out a dry daytime period tomorrow, with a good supply of sunshine. It is going to be rather breezy at times tomorrow, with a mild south wind. A cold front will be dropping into the state late tomorrow night, pushing southward during the day on Saturday. Clouds will be increasing late tomorrow, with a few showers possible tomorrow night. The best chance of rain will be after midnight tomorrow night and into the day on Saturday. There could be a few rumbles of thunder with the rain activity, although the chance for a thunderstorm will be slim due to low instability. The temperatures forecast for Saturday will be quite tricky as the day with start off mild with afternoon cooling. A colder north wind will develop and temperatures will fall into the middle 30s by Sunday morning. The front will eventually stall to our south and there could be a lingering shower over the southern half of the area.

It looks like there will be enough ridging by Monday to keep us dry and milder. We will continue to warm into the mid-week time frame, with a warm front materializing to our north. This will be the mid-week focus zone for precipitation. I can’t rule out a few showers over the northern half of the area during the Tuesday and Wednesday timeframe. The chances for rain during the mid-week timeframe are lower; however, rain chances will rise during the final few days of the month. A stronger disturbance will eventually be pulling a band of rain and storms into the state by Friday of next week.

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Wednesday Afternoon Update 4:02 PM

A surface high is currently centered near Panama City, FL and this is providing a very stable weather setup over our region. The sky will remain clear tonight and winds will calm, with lows near 26 degrees. The cold flow on the eats side of this high will send freezing temperatures well southward into the Sunshine. Most of the Florida Panhandle and points southward to near Lake Okeechobee are under Hard freeze Warning. Regular Freeze Warnings extend south to Miami. These are advisories that you don’t see too often! The good thing is that the extreme cold will slowly retreat over the coming days. Highs tomorrow will be near 60 in our area, with a mostly sunny sky. It won’t be as cold tomorrow night, with lows near 40.

A cold front will drop in late Friday and during the day we will have increasing clouds, with highs in the middle to upper 60s. We will have a mild south wind during the day. There will be a few showers around by Friday afternoon, with a better chance of rain Friday night and into the day on Saturday. The front will settle to our south by Sunday, although overrunning moisture will help trigger spotty showers. A west to east oriented upper air pattern will set the stage for milder and occasionally cloudy/wet conditions for next week. The front will eventually retreat northward bringing the chance for showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. According to the latest long range data, the front may not make a final push through the area by midweek. Therefore, we may deal with more showers and thunderstorms for the final days of the month. Be sure to join us tonight for more details! (Image: Latest GOES IR Satellite Image)

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

Tuesday Afternoon Discussion 4:10 PM

It has been a very cold Tuesday in West Alabama, with highs only in the 30s. The latest airport observation shows a temperature of 32 degrees. An icy north wind is keeping our wind chill index in the 23-27 degree range. It’s going to remain very cold through tonight, with lows dropping into the lower 20s. There are lots of clouds in place and snow flurries have been reported throughout the afternoon. We will continue have a chance for snow flurries during the early evening hours tonight. Clearing will happen later tonight and that will allow for the big time cool down. The good thing is that our highs will recover into the upper 40s tomorrow and by Thursday we will have highs near 60 degrees.

The picture for the weather late in the week and the weekend is becoming clearer. The upper air pattern will become more zonal from west to east. A cold front will drop in on Friday bringing a chance for showers. The upper air pattern will allow this front to stall to our south. We will continue to deal with showers on Saturday and there will be the chance for scattered showers on Sunday and Monday as moisture overruns the state. The sky will remain cloudy with a few showers on Monday. A surge of dry air will finally sweep the wet weather out of the state on Tuesday. By Tuesday afternoon there will be a good chance for showers and the possibility of thunderstorms. Be sure to join us this evening for more details!

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist