Sunday Afternoon Discussion Update 4:49 PM

I think it’s safe to say the models have done a poor job handling this weekend’s weather setup. The good thing is that the lack of clouds today allowed for a nice warm-up into the lower 60s. Tuscaloosa reported an official high of 61 degrees. The forecasted cold front for today quickly departed the area, allowing for rapid clearing. We continue to highlight another big cool down to start off the new week. A long wave trough will establish itself over the eastern U.S. and this will open the gate to the north, allowing more cold air to spill southward. The chill won’t be quite as significant as what we experienced late last week.

The latest IR satellite image reveals a clear sky upstream and we should remain cloud free through much of tonight. Our forecast low for tonight will be near freezing. A west to northwest wind however, should prevent maximum cooling. Tomorrow will be an entirely different story as a northwest wind will transport in colder air, with highs only in the 40s. Things get rather interesting tomorrow night as a small scale disturbance aloft drops into the state. This feature will have enough moisture to support the possibility of snow. At this time I’m only forecasting snow flurries for our area late tomorrow night and into the first part of Tuesday. This will not be anything major, although it will be neat to see a few snow flakes. The disturbance will squeeze out any available moisture through early Tuesday as lows approach freezing. There will be a lot of clouds overhead on Tuesday and I’m expecting temperatures to mainly be in the 30s during the day.

The wild temperature ride will continue into Wednesday. The sky will be sunny and we will go from morning lows near 23 to highs in the lower 50s. We will be in the 60 degree range by Thursday afternoon and during this time our next rain maker will be coming into the picture. You can expect increasing clouds Thursday night, with some showers in the area on Friday. According to the latest data, the showers may linger into Friday night and early Saturday morning. I’m fairly confident in the possibility of rain on Friday; however, the wet weather may quickly move out by early Saturday. I will be in for Richard tonight at ten with more details. Have a great evening and a great M.L.K holiday tomorrow!

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist