Ike Model Data

This latest collection of various model output regarding Ike has trended westward. This may be revealed in the latest forecast track from NHC.  (Image Source: Colorado State University)

 

Wes Wyatt

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Monday Afternoon Update: 3:42 PM

I sure hope you had a great weekend! We’ve enjoyed a couple of pleasant mornings thanks to drier air. It is only September 9th and I’m already looking forward to some cool fall weather. Unfortunately, right now its feels very hot, with temperatures near 90. Thunderstorms have developed to our east and southeast. Some of this activity may work into our area tonight. If rain does manage to push into West Alabama the timing would mainly be in the early evening hours. Otherwise, we will have a partly cloudy sky, with lows near 67. Patchy fog will be possible late tonight in areas that receive rain.

As for tomorrow, a cold front will approach the state and there is a threat for more scattered afternoon thunderstorms. The front won’t quite make it into our area and this will keep the greatest threat for rain in areas northwest of Tuscaloosa. Wednesday will be a similar day, with only spotty showers and thunderstorms expected. Other than the threat for spotty storms, the sky will be partly cloudy, with highs near 90 degrees.

 Ike Forecast Track

Ike Forecast Track

Hurricane Ike is forecasted to cross Cuba and track towards the west-central Gulf by Thursday. According to the latest data, this system will pass to our south as a high pressure ridge builds over our area. This scenario would mean more sunshine, with only isolated thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday. With this said, there are still uncertainties in the exact landfall positioning. A slight eastward jog in track would mean a better rain opportunity for our area. The latest official NHC track has the center of the forecast cone aimed at Houston, TX. There will be a trough shifting across the nation that may pickup the remnants of Ike and send that energy eastward. If that is the case, we may deal with a greater coverage of rain and thunderstorms late in the weekend. Stay tuned!

 

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist