Sunday Afternoon Weather Discussion

Today was another refreshing day before the summer-like weather gets here. First, temperatures are only in the upper 70s and lower 80s as I type this discussion. There have been a few spotty showers around just as expected, as a front works into the area; there is limited moisture around today, so don’t expect much in the way of rainfall today. There could be a few strong to severe storms north of Tuscaloosa today, as the Storm Prediction Center has placed the northern part of the state under a slight risk for severe weather. Temperatures will cool off some by tonight, as lows approach the lower 60s. The heat really cranks up by Monday and Tuesday; highs will be in the middle 80s on Monday, but upper 80s on Tuesday. We will get underneath a ridge of high pressure, which means for summer-like conditions around here. I can’t rule out a stray shower or storm each day beginning on Tuesday, as daytime heating along with available moisture will help to spark off a few storms. You know the routine, as highs approach 90 degrees Wednesday and Thursday, a few storms will develop pop up. They won’t last long, but some storms could be rather strong as they pulse up during the daytime heating. Storms will quickly diminish after sunset Tuesday through next weekend and temperatures will remain close to 90 degrees.

With a ridge of high pressure building in and very warm temperatures, I’m watching things to our south; the Atlantic Hurricane Season begins on June 1st, so our attention will begin to shift southward. The gulf water temperatures are really beginning to heat up, as some buoy reports show upper 70s to near 80 degree sea surface temperatures. Once those temperatures warm to above 79 degrees, then it becomes favorable for hurricane development. Of course, not only do water temperatures have to be warm, also the upper air winds must be light. Some of our long range data is suggesting some tropical activity move into the gulf in about two weeks. That is a long way out, but still should be monitored as the environment become more favorable for tropical development. Stay tuned as we monitor the tropics during the upcoming months.

Be sure to tune into WVUA tonight at 10 p.m. for the latest on your weather forecast. Have a great day!

Richard Scott
WVUA-TV’s Weekend Weather Anchor

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