Friday Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Yesterday our topic for severe weather awareness week was flood safety and for the first time in several months, we had numerous flood related statements during the early morning hours today. The rainfall total at the Tuscaloosa Airport, after the entire event, was 2.09”, Calera measured 2.90”, Selma measured 1.35”, and Pinson measured 1.72”. Needless to say, we had a very good soaking and south of Tuscaloosa we had some severe storms during the early morning, which primarily were hail producers. Dime sized hail was reported to the National Weather Service from a community just west of Selma on highway 14 and 80.

A cold front is approaching West Alabama and this feature will push through during the afternoon hours. There still is a chance for thunderstorm development south of Tuscaloosa, but a lot of energy was utilized as the heavy rain marched across earlier today. I’m still expecting, at the least, a few more showers or drizzle as the front moves across this afternoon. Much drier air will settle in behind the front and this will bring an end to the wet weather threat from northwest to southeast this evening.

The clouds should break for a sunny period tomorrow, but we will continue to see some times of clouds through tomorrow night. An upper level disturbance will be dropping in from the northwest tomorrow night and this may squeeze out at shower. The best chance of a shower or sprinkle will be northwest of Tuscaloosa. Otherwise, we will break out of the clouds on Sunday, with a mostly clear sky lasting into Monday.

Another area of low pressure will be passing to our north late Monday night and into the day on Tuesday. This system will tap into some very cold air and as the cold front leading this air marches in on Tuesday, we will have another good chance for rain. There maybe a thunderstorm initially, but we will then have rain with falling temperatures. After the rain departs a deep upper air trough over the region will open the gate to a blast of cold air. Look for highs to struggle to reach the lower 40s by next Wednesday. Be sure to join us tonight at four, five, six, and ten for more details!

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist

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River Flood Warning

708 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA…

SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON AFFECTING SUMTER COUNTY.

HEAVY RAINFALL THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE SUCARNOOCHEE BASIN IS SENDING THE RIVER INTO FLOOD… AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.

SAFETY MESSAGE… DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN.

ANOTHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM AL HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SUCARNOOCHEE RIVER AT LIVINGSTON.

* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT…OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

* AT 6:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.7 FEET.

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.

* FORECAST…THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.6 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACT…AT 22 FEET…FLOODING OF SOME YARDS IN SOUTHEAST LIVINGSTON OCCURS.

Robert Stevenson/WVUA Weather

Flood & Flash Flood Watches Issued

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 AM CST FRI FEB 22 2008

…A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON…

.RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN TWO AND FIVE INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA…UP TO THREE INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. AND THESE TYPE OF RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN AREAS OF FLOODING.

COUNTIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE:
CALHOUN CLEBURNE PICKENS TUSCALOOSA JEFFERSON SHELBY ST. CLAIR TALLADEGA CLAY RANDOLPH SUMTER GREENE HALE PERRY BIBB CHILTON COOSA TALLAPOOSA CHAMBERS MARENGO DALLAS AUTAUGA ELMORE AND LEE.

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF… ANNISTON… HEFLIN… CARROLLTON… TUSCALOOSA… BIRMINGHAM… HOOVER… COLUMBIANA… PELHAM… ALABASTER… PELL CITY… MOODY… TALLADEGA… SYLACAUGA… ASHLAND… ROANOKE… LIVINGSTON… EUTAW… GREENSBORO… MOUNDVILLE… MARION… CENTREVILLE… CLANTON… ROCKFORD… ALEXANDER CITY… DADEVILLE… VALLEY… LANETT… LAFAYETTE… DEMOPOLIS… LINDEN… SELMA… PRATTVILLE… WETUMPKA… TALLASSEE… AUBURN AND OPELIKA.

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA…EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS… IN CENTRAL ALABAMA… AUTAUGA… BIBB… CHILTON… COOSA… DALLAS… ELMORE… JEFFERSON… PERRY… SHELBY… ST. CLAIR AND TALLADEGA.
IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA… CALHOUN… CHAMBERS… CLAY… CLEBURNE… LEE… RANDOLPH AND TALLAPOOSA.
IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA… GREENE… HALE… MARENGO… PICKENS… SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA.

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* A DISTURBANCE SWINGING ACROSS LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI WILL CAUSE A WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE DAY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TOP OF RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN TWO AND FIVE INCHES THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLOODING.

* MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE…TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

Robert Stevenson/WVUA Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Marengo, Perry, Dallas and Hale Counties (Until 1 a.m.)

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
  SOUTHERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA…
  WEST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…
  NORTHEASTERN MARENGO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL HALE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 100 AM CST

* AT 1230 AM CST…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DAYTON…OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LINDEN…
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR…
  UNIONTOWN BY 1240 AM CST…
  VALDEN BY 1250 AM CST…
  HAMBURG BY 1255 AM CST…
  SUTTLE AND RED FORD BY 100 AM CST…

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH…PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS…DESTRUCTIVE HAIL…AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER…
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST FRIDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

Posted By: WVUA TV’s Richard Scott