Monday Afternoon Forecast Discussion/Severe Weather Threat

There is no doubt that it feels much warmer than it should be for this time of the year. In fact, temperatures today are running about 20-degrees above average. This warm air mass over our area has developed in response to a strong southerly flow. The breeze out of the south will keep us mild through tonight. Also, as an aggressive low pressure area pulls out of the four corners region, we will continue to see a southerly flow through tomorrow.

Look for a partly sunny start to the day tomorrow, with the threat of thunderstorms arriving in the afternoon. The warm/moist air coupled with increasing wind shear, will set the stage for a severe weather event. There will be the chance for some thunderstorms to grow severe later tomorrow and a moderate risk for severe weather has been issued to include sections of West Alabama.

Be sure to stay with us overnight and into tomorrow as we monitor the latest developments regarding the severe weather potential. We will be here as always monitoring things closely for you! The main concern later tomorrow will be discrete or individual supercell thunderstorms. Then tomorrow night as a cold front approaches, this activity will organize into more of a squall line and push through the state. Therefore, the threat for active weather will continue tomorrow night.

The rain will gradually taper off early on Wednesday, with falling temperatures. Highs will only reach the lower 50s, with lows near freezing Wednesday night. Look for mostly sunny conditions on Thursday, with a few clouds on Friday as another push of cooler air drops in. For now, the weekend looks dry, with our next chance of rain around Wednesday or Thursday of next week.

Remember that if severe weather threatens you can hear our coverage on 102.9 FM, updates will be on the Weather Blog, and of-course we will be utilizing our interactive radar to bring you latest storm tracks and positioning. Needless to say, we’ll be keeping an eye to the sky for you…Stay tuned!

Wes Wyatt
WVUA Chief Meteorologist