Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

The weather pattern over our region has been rather stagnant this week due to high pressure over the eastern U.S. This ridge will weaken slightly as a front drops into our area tomorrow. For now we will have another muggy night, with the chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm. Lows tonight will be dropping into the middle 60s.

Unfortunately, the coverage of rain won’t be that impressive as the main upper air support will be well north of our area. Highs will be in the upper 80s, with lows tomorrow night in the 60s.

Another stretch of dry weather will kickoff on Friday, with a mostly sunny expected. The good news is that the humidity won’t be as bad, with some nice-crisp nights and mornings. During the each day, highs will be in the 80s under a mostly sunny sky. Look for a clear sky at night, with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. Saturday morning will be the coolest morning, with lows near 59 degrees.

High pressure to our east will guide a disturbance into north Florida late next week and this feature may migrate into Alabama. I’m thinking the data may be trying to pick up on some tropical development late next week. For now, as moisture will increase, I’m calling for partly cloudy skies for Wednesday and Thursday, with the chance for a thunderstorm in the afternoon Thursday.

Trouble in the Tropics: All kinds of things are happening in the tropics. Right now tropical depression thirteen in the southern Gulf is dropping towards Mexico. Tropical Storm Karen east of the Antilles is turning northward and should stay away from land. Karen may likely develop into a hurricane soon. A low-pressure system off of south Florida will track along Florida’s east coast in the days ahead and at this time we’re not expecting development. It will need to be closely monitored over the warm Gulf Stream. Finally, two other healthy waves are well across the Atlantic and these features will have to be monitored for development. Both western Atlantic systems are in favorable environments for development. Click here for much more

Traveling With The Tide: If your traveling with the Crimson Tide this week, look for partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms in Jacksonville on Saturday. Highs will be in the middle 80s. Much like last week’s game, just carry the poncho, as the rain should pass over quickly.

Chief Meteorologist Wes Wyatt
WVUA-TV Weather

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