Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

It’s been another great day for us, with lots of sunshine and seasonal temperatures. The day really got off to a nice fall-like start with some areas in the low 50s. Hamilton actually dropped to 53-degrees for a low and Tuscaloosa dropped to 58. Tonight we will have another mostly clear sky, with lows again dropping into the upper 50s. High pressure will keep us dry tomorrow, with more sunshine expected. However, all eyes will be over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico as a tropical cyclone is expected to take shape.

A disturbance now crossing Florida is expected to become more organized over the warm waters of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and this feature will then track northwestward. All kinds of question marks come up with regard to strength and track of this system. For now we’re staying fairly close to our previous forecast, with dry weather still dominating much of the area through Saturday. A stray shower or thunderstorm will be possible in areas south of Tuscaloosa on Friday and Saturday. The better chance for a shower or thunderstorms will be on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. Our forecast is based on the scenario that the Gulf of Mexico system passes to our south and helps send a surge of moisture well into the state. Be sure to stay tuned as we fine tune our forecast and monitor the latest tropical developments.

Chief Meteorologist Wes Wyatt
WVUA-TV Weather