Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

Hurricane Felix made a landfall in extreme northeast Nicaragua during the morning today around 8:00 a.m. local time, as a category five hurricane. The maximum sustained winds were estimated to be near 160 mph, a wind speed capable of catastrophic damage. Thankfully, the high terrain of Central America is quickly weakening Felix; however, flooding will continue to be a major problem. Felix is expected to weaken into a depression positioned over Guatemala by tomorrow afternoon. Elsewhere, hurricane Henriette in the Pacific is expected to track across the Baja and weaken after making another landfall in Mexico. The remnant energy will bring some gusty winds and rain to the southwestern U.S. over the weekend.

One more area of interest in the tropics is a low pressure area off of the Carolinas. This feature could develop into a tropical or subtropical cyclone soon. The quick movement of this feature eastward into the Atlantic has weakened the less humid-east flow over our area. This in return has allowed the moist flow to start building into West Alabama. A few isolated thundershowers have popped up over parts of East Alabama and a stray thundershower can’t be ruled out.

Tomorrow and Thursday will be seasonal days, with highs near 90-degrees. A stray shower or thunderstorm can’t be ruled out in the afternoon. Unfortunately, the humidity won’t be quite as low as earlier projections. The moist flow will be on the increase for Friday and Saturday and this will bring us a good chance for a passing afternoon thunderstorm. A front will arrive by Monday and this will trigger a good coverage of showers and thunderstorms. It appears this front may move completely through our area, with some crisp/less humid air settling in for next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Chief Meteorologist Wes Wyatt
WVUA-TV Weather

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