Wednesday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

There is finally going to be some interesting weather features to talk about over the coming days. First, we finally have showers scattered about much of West Alabama this afternoon. A quick check of the radar, at the time of this posting, shows widely scattered showers drifting northwest across parts of Tuscaloosa, Hale, and Marengo Counties. Even our very own Robert Stevenson reported a few raindrops…and yes we are that desperate for rain. The weather won’t change much through tomorrow as a trough digging into the northern Gulf of Mexico helps throw clouds and moisture in our direction. Look for cloudy skies through tonight and tomorrow, with spotty showers possible. Tonight’s low will be near 63-degrees and with the clouds in place, it won’t be too warm tomorrow. Today the clouds have kept us near 80-degrees, much lower than yesterdays high. Tomorrow as temperatures warm there may be a couple of stray thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and early evening hours.

Friday I do believe we will have some sunshine breaking through the clouds, at times. Therefore, the chance will be greater for scattered showers and the development of thunderstorms. At this time low pressure will be deepening near the central Gulf of Mexico and this feature won’t have the favorable upper air influences to promote rapid development into a tropical system. However, this system may resemble the hybrid type low such as what we witnessed with the first named subtropical storm of the year. The trough will guide this system towards the bend of Florida and the good news is that this could bring much needed rain to our friends dealing with the wildfires over South Georgia and North Florida. That would help us out by dampening the smoke potential. Also, the overall flow over Alabama will help improve our air quality.

As the low pressure passes to our northeast, the flow on the backside of the system will help pull a cold front into our state. This means by Sunday and Monday the opportunity for a passing shower or thunderstorm will increase. The details are a little sketchy beyond that point, but there will be a massive high-pressure ridge to our southwest. That means we will be under a northwest flow aloft. During this time of the year it’s not uncommon to have thunderstorm complexes develop in this type of setup and journey towards Alabama. We’ll keep you posted!

Hurricane Season Arrives On Friday: Click Here For A Printable-Blank Hurricane Tracking Chart Provided By NHC(.PDF)

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist WVUA-TV