Monday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update

When I stepped outside to check my mail today I noticed my yard was taking quite a beating due to this unbelievable dry spell. I just can’t image the current level of dryness in the wooded areas and I want to pass along another friendly reminder to please use extra caution with anything flammable in this type of climate. There is currently a no-burn ordinance in place. Folks across North Florida and South Georgia have been battling wildfires for weeks.

On the other hand we’ve enjoyed some pleasant temperatures for May. We’ve had cool mornings and evenings, with temperatures not so bad during the midday hours. Just driving through town over the weekend, I noticed many people capitalizing on the bright weather, working outdoors, walking, jogging, etc.

The data today is still showing a dominant ridge of high pressure right over the state of Alabama and rain simply will not be able to develop in this type of stable environment. When we see this type of setup we have subsidence or sinking air in the atmosphere and the atmosphere is capped off to prevent scattered storms from developing. Tonight we will cool to near 60-degrees, with highs in the upper 80s tomorrow. Look for lots of sunshine for tomorrow and Wednesday.

As the core of the high pressure builds northeastward, the flow will become more southeasterly and that could bring some haze into the area by mid-week. I’m expecting dry weather for the most part on Thursday, but the data is showing a slight weakness in the ridge for that day. There could be a stray shower or thunderstorm pop-up south of Tuscaloosa Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, look for dry weather to continue to dominate through the rest of the workweek. Be sure to join us tonight for more details.

(Image: NOAA Current Surface Map) 

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist WVUA-TV