Friday Afternoon Forecast Discussion Update/Severe Weather Possible Tomorrow

Good afternoon! We’re already dealing with some changes out there as clouds have now moved into the area. Another powerhouse storm is impacting the country and we found an interesting report of thunder with snow over north Texas. A dangerous winter storm is now moving through the southern Plains. Just to give you another idea of the magnitude of this storm system, severe thunderstorms are prompting tornado warnings over north Texas right now. This same storm system will be racing eastward and tonight showers and thunderstorms will start materializing as a warm front lifts northward into West Alabama.

Dewpoint’s are already starting to climb back over southwest Mississippi. These dewpoint values represent the leading edge of a warmer more-unstable air mass that will build northward tomorrow. The big question is how far northward into Alabama will the warm/moist air reach. Right now it looks like Tuscaloosa will be on the far northern tip of the warmer unstable sector of this system. The storm system will bring lots of energy for lift and there will be a rotational component to the atmosphere. Therefore, we will have the watch for some strong to severe thunderstorms, especially south of Tuscaloosa. The threat with these storms will be large hail, gusty straight-line winds, and the possibility of tornadoes.

According to the Storm Prediction Center, a moderate risk for severe weather tomorrow will be in place for areas along a line from near Livingston to Centreville and points south. North of that line a slight risk will be in place. Stay tuned as we monitor the setup closely tonight and tomorrow. If any special weather statements are issued or if anything looks suspicious we will be the first to let you know. If we notice a shift in the track of the storm system, along with the chance for the air to become more-unstable, that could create a greater threat for active weather. On a positive note, more heavy rain will fall helping us out with the rainfall deficit. According to HPC we could have totals over 1.50” in most locations. Stay tuned as we continue to monitor the weekend weather situation.

Wes Wyatt
Chief Meteorologist WVUA-TV