Strong to Severe Storms Late Tonight… Update 6:20pm
October 17, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Wednesday evening! As of now, our weather is perfect this evening. If you have plans out for dinner, there will be no issues with rain or severe weather. We’re watching a squall line develop over eastern Arkansas at this 6pm hour. The line will reach Alabama late tonight.
Above is the latest RPM forecast model… This shows the line reaching our northwest Alabama counties between midnight and 1am. The model indicates the line will pass south of I-20/59 around 3am.
As for the threats… Instability is far too low for a big severe weather event across west and central Alabama. Severe weather ingredients are marginal at best, but it’s close enough to keep an eye on it through the night. I expect the squall line to bring the risk of a damaging wind gust here and there and a quick spin-up tornado. The risk of severe weather will end quickly after 3am, as the air continues to stabalize across Alabama. Plus, the best chance of a storm reaching severe levels will happen over west Alabama. I think the air will be too stable to have severe weather east of I-65.
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