Nice Weather, With Some Storms Ahead…Friday Afternoon Forecast Update 5pm
October 12, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Friday Afternoon! I had a great time speaking to the 2nd grade classes at Taylorville Primary this morning. Today was career day. Look for video on WVUA news at 5, 6 and 10pm.
Our weather has turned out very nice and mild this afternoon. Skies remain partly cloudy to mostly sunny, with no rain across our area. If you have an event happening tonight or you’re going to a local high school football game, the weather is looking nice. At this point, I don’t see any rain chances through tonight. Conditions will remain mild for the games, with temperatures falling to 70 at the 7pm kickoff and the middle 60s at the 10pm final play.
Saturday is looking great for Alabama’s weather. I don’t see any issues with rain or extensive clouds on Saturday or much of Sunday. If you have outdoor events planned for the weekend, temperatures will be mild and the weather will be dry. Highs will reach the lower 80s across west and central Alabama on Saturday and Sunday. We will be watching an advancing trough northwest of Alabama on Saturday and Sunday. The chance of rain will remain to our northwest until Sunday evening, as the front moves into our area. As the trough and cold front reaches northwest Alabama Sunday night, we can expect a good chance of scattered showers and storms. The best chance of rain will occur between 5pm Sunday and 9am Monday. There could be a few strong storms, but the risk of organized severe weather looks fairly low at this time. It’s worth watching, but I expect the best dynamics to pass well north of Alabama Sunday night, so that should limit any organized risk. We’re mainly looking at the chance of showers and storms only…
If you’re making a trip to Columbia for the Alabama vs Missouri game, we could have some issues with severe weather. While our local weather will be fine on Saturday, big problems are possible for the Alabama football game. A vigorous storm system will bring the risk of severe storms during the game and through the rest of the evening in Columbia, Missouri. The forecast model above is the 18z RPM. This is valid for 6pm Saturday. According to this model, severe storms could very well interrupt the game. Delays are possible…
The best chance of severe weather will occur just after the game, but I expect the risk of severe storms during game time. Make sure you have a source of severe weather information. The threat include damaging winds, heavy rain, lightning, hail and isolated tornadoes. According to the Storm Prediction Center, this could be a high end severe weather event. Dangerous weather is possible during the game. Again, stay alert if you’re going to the game. This threat will NOT impact Alabama’s weather… I’ll have weather updates on facebook leading up to and during the game. Like us on facebook by searching http://www.facebook.com/wvuaweather.
Back to our local weather… Temperatures will cool a touch on Monday and Tuesday. Look for highs to reach the middle to upper 70s. Sunshine will return in full force after lunch on Monday and continue through Tuesday. Lows at night will fall into the lower 50s by Tuesday morning.
Some models are picking up on a strong storm system arriving in western Alabama Wednesday evening or Wednesday night. This system has a chance to produce severe weather across west. While confidence is low at this time, we’ll update the forecast as that system moves our way. At this point, expect the risk of rain Wednesday evening through Thursday morning. Some severe storms are possible.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist