Very Active Tropics! Redeveloping Tropical Storm in the Gulf of Mexico…Major Impact to Bermuda With Leslie? Wednesday Update 2:20pm
September 5, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Wednesday afternoon! Things are becoming very active in the tropics. We now have 4 areas we’re looking at in terms of tropical development. 1st, an area of low pressure has formed in the northern Gulf of Mexico. This is what’s left of Isaac. Isaac tracked inland last week across southern Louisiana, and then moved into the upper Midwest. After that, Isaac moved southward into Alabama earlier this week, producing flooding and isolated tornadoes. Now, the remnant low of Isaac has moved into the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. This system has a good chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next day or two as it drifts south or southwest.
Most forecast data turns the storm back to the north, then northeast over the weekend. It looks like there will be some impacts along the Alabama and Florida Gulf Coast. I don’t expect this system to develop into a damaging hurricane, but it will bring a ton of rain to the immediate Gulf Coast. Since the low is small, I doubt we have any issues around here with the old Isaac. The big question is what name will the storm get? If you remember back in 2004, Hurricane Ivan did a very similar thing. Ivan moved well inland and died out into a remnant low. The storm then caught a ridge and turned south and moved back into the Gulf. Ivan then redeveloped into a tropical storm and moved into the Texas/Louisiana boarder. The National Hurricane Center is trying to figure out whether to give the remnant low of Isaac a new name or keep the old name. Interesting days ahead for sure…
Elsewhere in the tropics, things are very active for sure… Check out the map below. Leslie has developed into a hurricane at this hour and is moving towards Bermuda. There could be some major issues for the island in the next few days as the storm continues to strengthen. Leslie could become a major hurricane and slam into the Island over the weekend. Leslie should re-curve out to sea, so I don’t see any major impacts along the east coast.
Tropical Storm Michael is becoming better organized today and could become a hurricane at any point. This storm is heading out to sea…
Next low we’re keeping an eye on is well out in the eastern Atlantic. We’ll have to watch it close, but I expect that storm to re-curve into the Atlantic. Since it’s so far to the east, we’ll have to keep an eye on any forecasting changes.
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