More Strong To Severe Storms Tonight? Monday Afternoon Forecast Update 4pm
August 13, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Monday afternoon to you! We’ve had some bumpy weather around the lunch time hour, when a band of strong storms moved across our area. While we didn’t have active warnings, there was an isolated wind damage report here and there. One report came from northern Tuscaloosa County. Here’s the report…. “A PORCH AWNING AND ROOF OF A SINGLE WIDE MOBILE HOME WERE BLOWN OFF…AND TWO OUTBUILDINGS SUSTAINED ROOF DAMAGE AS WELL. WINDS ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH.”
While the first batch of storms has moved on, the cold front is still well to the northwest of Alabama. Notice the new severe thunderstorm watch in effect for much of central and north Mississippi. Active thunderstorms are starting to develop around the Mississippi River. While much of our area is rain-cooled, the atmosphere is gradually destabilizing. As a lifting mechanism moves our way and wind shear increases, we may have an issue of strong to severe storms tonight. If you have plans outdoors for dinner, the weather will be fine. The threat of a second round of storms won’t move in until sometime tonight. I don’t expect any issues with tornadoes, but some damaging winds gusts are possible in scattered spots. The threat is pretty low, but it’s worth watching. Keep your NOAA Weather Radio turned on tonight incase a severe storm moves over your area. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, stay away from windows. The best chance of storms will happen between 8pm and 5am. The risk of storms will begin in northwest Alabama, and then shift to areas southeast of Tuscaloosa after daybreak.
A weak cold front will push through the area from northwest to southeast early on Tuesday. The risk of storms on Tuesday looks pretty low due to the frontal position. Since the front will likely move south of Tuscaloosa around daybreak, the best chance of showers and storms should move south along the front as the day moves along. Skies will remain partly cloudy for the most part on Tuesday and Wednesday. We’ll catch a break for a day or so for much of Tuesday and Wednesday. Most of Thursday will also be dry, but we’ll be keeping an eye on a new system west of Alabama by that point. Look for afternoon highs to reach the lower 90s each day on Tuesday through Friday. Organized showers and storms will become possible late Thursday or on Friday and Saturday. The first half of the weekend looks rather wet with a good chance of storms. Afternoon highs will dip into the upper 80s on Saturday and Sunday.
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