Tropical Low Becoming Better Organized…Tropical Update 4pm Tuesday
July 31, 2012 Leave a comment
We’re watching a new tropical low develop in the central Atlantic at this time, but there is a low chance of this becoming a tropical storm over the next 24 hours. Most model data moves this system towards the west, with a curve to the northwest in about 5 days. There is some chance this system could impact the US Coast in 8 to 10 days, but it’s still unclear who will be impacted and if this sytem will even get organized. Most data develops it into a tropical storm in the next couple of days, so we will need to watch it. Stay with us for updates. Here’s a note from the National Hurricane Center:
A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AN EMBEDDED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED NEARLY MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.
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Richard Scott
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