Friday Evening Forecast Discussion – 4:15 p.m.
July 27, 2012 Leave a comment
Happy Weekend to you!! For the last couple of days we’ve talked about this weak/weakening front that is expected to make its way into the state over the next 24 hours. While this is still true…this is not a front like we are used to. There will not be a big wind shift to the northwest or north as we are accustomed to, but what it will be is a focusing mechanism for additional thunderstorm development on Saturday. The main area of focus will be over the southern half of the area, south of Interstate 20. Environmental conditions should be fairly similar to today for this area, so there is a limited chance of hazardous weather for Saturday.
Beginning Sunday, Alabama is going to be put into a northwest flow aloft as we will be sitting on the southwestern periphery of a larger scale trough that is set to settle over the eastern third of the United States. This is going to open us up to a very tricky forecast for the first half of next week. As is normally the case with this type of pattern upstream MCS development will be possible, all of which will have the potential to make it into our area. Because of this we will hold onto this low-end chance of rain through the week.
While we are going to be hot and humid through the weekend, the northwest flow will not only give us the chance to see an rain shower or two, it will also allow for temperatures to moderate. Low to middle 90s through the middle of the week will likely be the story, with temperature beginning to rebound back into the middle and upper 90s by the end of the week as the upper ridge to our west slowly starts to slide to the east.
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