Saturday Evening Forecast Discussion – 9:55 p.m.
July 21, 2012 Leave a comment
Precipitation looks to have come to an end for this evening. A few high clouds will remain for the time being, giving way to some low level cloud development once again tonight. This cloud deck should not be as extensive or long lasting as last night`s but it should be there nonetheless.
The only feature we will have to watch overnight will be the upper level low currently over southern Mississippi. This feature could help to develop some showers in West Alabama after 3 am. So we still have a chance of rain late tonight along the Mississippi-Alabama state line.
On Sunday the trough will be just south of the I-20 corridor, so the best chance of rain will be in the north part of the area. We are only expecting scattered activity during the peak heating of the day. At this time the best chances will be across the northwestern areas. Looks like Sunday will be generally a daytime rainmaker, meaning there is a less likely chance Sunday night.
For next week, we will need to keep an eye on the tropical moisture that will slide into the northern gulf. Looks like it should stay to our south allowing us to dry out and warm up for Monday and Tuesday. Look for above normal temperatures through midnight as activity will be more isolated in nature. Although if the gulf moisture moves further north, then activity will be more scattered especially in the south. The majority of the models keep the storm pattern well to our north and builds in the bermuda high. Although Central Alabama would remain on the western periphery of the ridge and will continue to keep at least a chance of showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the time frame.