July 17, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Tuesday afternoon to you! Scattered showers and storms have developed in the peak heating this afternoon, but many spots remain rain free. The good news is that rain chances will increase over the next few days, so if you haven’t got rain yet, you stand a good chance between now and the weekend. Temperatures have been very hot this afternoon, with highs in the middle to upper 90s. Spots that have picked up a nice downpour this afternoon, are a bit cooler.
An upper level low over northern Florida is producing numerous showers and storms as far west as east Alabama and Georgia. The higher risk of rain will increase across all of central and west Alabama tomorrow and on Thursday as the upper level low moves into our area. Deep tropical moisture and cold air aloft will help to increase instability and kick off scattered to numerous storms. Clouds will also start to increase on Wednesday and Thursday. I still expect a partly cloudy sky on Wednesday, so temperatures will likely reach the lower 90s. Upper 80s to lower 90s are a little more likely on Thursday through Sunday. The heat will come down due to the extra clouds and rain in the area. The best chance of scattered to numerous storms will happen during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out rain at night or in the morning hours each day this week and over the weekend. Since the environment is favorable for showers and storms, that chance will extend into the overnight hours as well. It will not rain all day or night, but you will need the rain gear at times. Many spots will pick up a nice soaking rain between now and Sunday. Average rain amounts may reach the 3 inch mark across central and west Alabama today through Sunday. You know the summer deal, some spots will get more rain while others get a little less.
A cold front will become a player in our forecast on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. This will provide more lift across our state and kick off more shower and storm coverage. Rain chances will increase to 60% on Thursday through Saturday, with a 50/50 risk for rain and storms on Sunday. The cold front will become stationary across north Alabama, and will continue to keep good rain chances in our local area. Again, this will be the come and go type of storms. I don’t expect an all day or night rain. Some storms could become strong to severe on Wednesday through Sunday, but the risk of severe weather is low. The main threat will include damaging winds and hail.
The beach forecast is looking fair over the next 5 days, but there will be the risk of scattered showers and storms. Similar to our local weather, it will not rain all day or night along the coast, but a storm is possible at any time. Look for highs to reach the upper 80s on Wednesday through Saturday along the Alabama Gulf Coast and northwest Florida Panhandle.
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