Rain Chances Remain High…Wednesday Morning Forecast Update – 9:45am
July 11, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Wednesday morning! Much of central and west Alabama is dealing with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies as of 9:45am. While most of our area is dry at this point, rain is starting to spread in from the southwest. A batch of light to moderate rain has developed over much of east and south Mississippi. The batch of soaking rain is moving into Sumter County now and will spread east to northeast and include much of west Alabama between now and noon. This activity should reach the Tuscaloosa area sometime after 11am. Rain seems to be increasing on radar, and this trend will likely continue, as much of the area deals with a nice soaking rain at times.
I don’t expect it to rain all day, but I also don’t expect the threat of severe weather like yesterday. Clouds are keeping temperatures a bit cooler, so the risk of severe weather should be a bit lower. Since instability was a driving force for severe weather yesterday, the lower instability levels today should help us out a bit. That being said, a storm may reach severe limits, with the threat of damaging winds somtime this afternoon.
We need the rain, and many spots have picked heavy amounts of rain over the past 5 days. I’ve picked up 0.20″ at my house in Northport over the past week, so I need more rain! I know there are other areas out there that have been kinda missed on the good rain totals. There’s a great chance we will break that lack of rain in all areas today, Thursday and on Friday. The chance of rain is high due to a weak upper level low over the south, and a weak surface front. With these two lifting features and a deep layer of tropical moisture over our area, the risk of rain will continue to be high through Friday. Temperatures will top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s in most areas today through the weekend. Once clouds and rain build into your area each day, look for temperatures to cool off nicely. We were at 96 yesterday afternoon in Tuscaloosa… The temperature dropped to 74 in a matter of two hours.
The risk of scattered to numerous storms will gradually decrease over the weekend. We’re calling for a 50% chance of storms on Friday and a 40% chance on Saturday and Sunday. While the risk of rain is lower, there’s still a good chance of scattered, hit or miss storms out there. If you have outdoor plans this weekend, don’t cancel just yet. The storms aren’t expected to last more than an hour on Saturday and Sunday, plus, there’s a fair chance that it won’t rain at your house. Highs will reach the lower to middle 90s on Saturday and Sunday, with lows in the lower 70s. Skies will become partly cloudy at times over the weekend.
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Richard Scott
WVUA Chief Meteorologist
