April 16, 2012 Leave a comment
Good Monday afternoon! Showers and storms have been moving across much of central Alabama today, but all of this activity has remained below severe limits. Some storms have produced lots of cloud to ground lightning, so it would be a good idea to go indoors when a storm approaches your area. A stationary front is hanging across central Alabama this afternoon, which has provided lift for thunderstorms today. The next increase in storms will come in response to a surface low and upper air disturbance tonight and on Tuesday. This storm system will bring lots of rain at times, but it won’t be a solid all night or day type of rain. Storms will come and go, but I expect rain totals to approach 1 to 3 inches in many spots.
As the area of low pressure moves northeast of Alabama, rain chances will quickly end Tuesday night. Dry weather will make a return for Wednesday and Thursday before more rain moves into Alabama on Friday. Highs will top out in the lower 70s on Tuesday due to the extra clouds and rain. Temperatures will rise into the upper 70s to lower 80s on Wednesday and Thursday. We can expect ample sunshine both Wednesday and Thursday as a surface high slides over Alabama. Lows will fall into the lower 50s both Wednesday and Thursday morning. As some drier air slips into Alabama, temperatures will be able to cool a little more those mornings.
Another storm system will move into central Alabama on Friday and Saturday. A deep upper air trough will develop and will spin up a strong surface low right over the state. Model data is still a little iffy on the time-frame and track of the surface low, but we will have to watch data close over the coming days. If the low tracks northwest of Alabama, we may have some severe weather issues. At this point, most data is not showing a severe weather look. Keep it here incase the forecast changes over the coming days.
Much cooler air will arrive on Saturday and Sunday, as highs fall into the upper 60s with lows in the 40s. So far, there is no threat of a freeze in west or central Alabama. Skies will become sunny by Sunday and Monday.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist