Good Monday afternoon! It has been a very nice day in terms of weather conditions across much of the southeast. Temperatures have got a little hot this afternoon, with many spots reaching the lower to middle 80s. After a cool start to the day, temperatures warmed quickly due to dry air and plenty of sunshine. Also, ridging building in from the southwest is warming temperatures across much of the country. Skies will remain sunny for the most part through Wednesday, with highs in the lower to middle 80s and lows in the middle 50s.
A developing storm system north of Alabama will bring the risk of a passing shower or storm on Thursday and Friday. The ridge across the south will prevent the front from reaching Alabama late in the week, but it will get close enough to bring the risk of a passing shower or storm. Plus, tropical moisture will move into our area and will serve as fuel for a few storms. Look for temperatures to reach the lower 80s through Friday.
There are lots of events happening outdoors this weekend, but model data is making for a tricky forecast. You’ll really need to stay tuned for any sudden changes. At this point, an upper level disturbance and weak surface low will provide the necessary lift for showers and storms locally on Saturday. With the Tuscaloosa Air Show happening in town, numerous outdoor events and weddings, the chance of storms isn’t the best news for you. Lots of people have been asking what time will it rain. Since storms are expected to be scattered, it is impossible to tell you what time it will rain at your event or if you will see any rain at your house this far out. At this point, I’m forecasting a good chance of scattered showers and storms across central Alabama on Saturday. The best chance of rain looks to happen during the afternoon hours as peak heating takes effect. Highs will warm into the upper 70s on Saturday, with lows in the upper 50s.
The upper level disturbance will move east of Alabama on Sunday, so rain chances will decrease. A few scattered storms are still possible through the Sunday/Monday time frame, but rain chances will become isolated.
The beach forecast is looking nice over the next few days along the Alabama Gulf Coast and the Florida Panhandle. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s Tuesday through Saturday. Skies will remain mostly sunny through Wednesday, but a stray storm or two will become possible Thursday through the weekend. At this point, rain chances look pretty low through the weekend.
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WVUA Chief Meteorologist