Developing Sub-Tropical Storm in the Gulf of Mexico! Strange Winter Continues… Sunday Evening Update 8:40 PM
February 5, 2012 2 Comments
Below is a discussion from the National Hurricane Center. There is a developing low pressure in the gulf that has a chance to become a sub-tropical storm. Either way, gusty winds and heavy rain will become likely across Florida over the next few days. The last time a tropical storm or sub tropical storm developed this early in the year was on February 2, 1952.
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
645 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS…SHOWERS…AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA…THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS…AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO…AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THE LOW IS CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA…AND A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING AND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY…AND IF THIS DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES…THEN A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A SUBTROPICAL STORM COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING…BEFORE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT… THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE…UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIAOFFNT3 AND WMO HEADER FZNT24 KNHC…AND ALSO IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED AS NEEDED.
WVUA Chief Meteorologist Richard Scott
Wow is all i can say
It’s a pretty strange event to say the least Nathan. By the way, the first name on the list is Alberto. There shouldn’t be any threat to Bama with this system. It’s heading northeast.
-Richard Scott